Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.029936 0.032236 0.034537 0.037007 0.039581 0.042180 0.045000
2025-08-31 0.025183 0.028813 0.032571 0.036736 0.041207 0.045847 0.051013
2025-09-07 0.022221 0.026634 0.031321 0.036637 0.042463 0.048622 0.055596
2025-09-14 0.019661 0.024577 0.029921 0.036101 0.042994 0.050393 0.058885
2025-09-21 0.017559 0.022832 0.028688 0.035581 0.043388 0.051879 0.061735
2025-09-28 0.015501 0.020980 0.027193 0.034635 0.043188 0.052605 0.063652
2025-10-05 0.014700 0.020528 0.027246 0.035398 0.044870 0.055391 0.067829
2025-10-12 0.013759 0.019837 0.026961 0.035717 0.045999 0.057518 0.071236
2025-10-19 0.012639 0.018857 0.026272 0.035509 0.046474 0.058864 0.073726
2025-10-26 0.012193 0.018682 0.026526 0.036396 0.048207 0.061640 0.077838
2025-11-02 0.011456 0.018094 0.026238 0.036603 0.049115 0.063444 0.080821
2025-11-09 0.010553 0.017239 0.025580 0.036325 0.049417 0.064520 0.082945
2025-11-16 0.009688 0.016434 0.025006 0.036194 0.049963 0.065970 0.085619
2025-11-23 0.008805 0.015568 0.024333 0.035932 0.050358 0.067261 0.088140
2025-11-30 0.008068 0.014854 0.023817 0.035835 0.050925 0.068736 0.090864
2025-12-07 0.007229 0.013938 0.022992 0.035306 0.050932 0.069517 0.092749
2025-12-14 0.006470 0.013084 0.022207 0.034793 0.050927 0.070261 0.094571
2025-12-21 0.005634 0.012053 0.021132 0.033860 0.050361 0.070298 0.095526
2025-12-28 0.005419 0.011962 0.021345 0.034613 0.051918 0.072918 0.099577
2026-01-04 0.005081 0.011653 0.021237 0.034927 0.052910 0.074841 0.102789
2026-01-11 0.004612 0.011100 0.020756 0.034722 0.053222 0.075918 0.104971
2026-01-18 0.004487 0.011107 0.021076 0.035598 0.054924 0.078713 0.109242
2026-01-25 0.004184 0.010791 0.020912 0.035802 0.055750 0.080419 0.112187